LATEST ANALYSIS:
Turkey’s Standoff With NATO Isn’t Over Yet
Finland and Sweden's NATO memberships have gone through for now, but Turkey’s standoff with NATO isn’t over yet as Burcu Ozcelik explains in Syndication Bureau.
Will peace in the Balkans last?
Helena Ivanov writes for The Post by UnHerd on how a flare-up on the Serbia-Kosovo border could destabilise Europe, and what the EU must do to prevent this.
Russian Grain Deal Will Prolong Ukraine War
Stepan Stepanenko writes for EurasiaReview on how any Russian grain deal risks prolonging Russia’s war in Ukraine and endangering long term supply by propping up tyrannical rule.
In the Arctic, cooperation with Russia is simply too important
Jason Pack writes for the NATO Defense College Foundation on the crucial areas — such as climate change and preservation of the Arctic — where our global interests will be worse off if we don’t work with Russia.
The Fall of the Neoliberal Order
As war continues in Ukraine, how did the collapse of neoliberalism get us to the point of conflict in Europe? Arthur Snell and Gary Gerstle discuss for Doomsday Watch.
Putin’s mistake was to discard the velvet glove
Until this year, 21st-century dictators have generally avoided pariah status by employing spin rather than violence to pursue their ruthless aims. David Patrikarakos writes about where Putin has gone wrong for The Spectator.
The west must work with Russia to save the Arctic
Jason Pack writes for The Financial Times that the lack of strong collective action approaches towards the climate crisis is a crucial component in our era of disorder, and that the West must work with Russia to save the Arctic.
If the West looks away now, Russia WILL triumph.
David Patrikarakos writes for The Daily Mail: Ukraine is losing hundreds of troops a day and yesterday another vital city fell. Yet the EU still seems to care more about Putin's gas.
Turkey — NATO’s Disruptive Ally
Of all the countries playing a part in the Ukraine crisis, Turkey is perhaps the most difficult to read. Aslı Aydıntaşbaş speaks to Arthur Snell on Doomsday Watch to discuss what Turkey and its president Recep Tayyip Erdoğan are trying to achieve.
Inside the battle on the Eastern Front
Given access to a secret Ukrainian base, David Patrikarakos sheds light on the realities facing Ukrainians who are fighting for their homeland in UnHerd.
NATO – An Alliance Revived?
As Sweden and Finland apply to join NATO, ending decades of military neutrality, how has Putin's invasion revived an alliance described as 'Braindead' by Emmanuel Macron two years ago? Lord Peter Ricketts joins Arthur Snell to discuss for Doomsday Watch.
The role of the EU in the Libyan conflict since 2011
Stefano Marcuzzi discusses the role of the EU in the Libyan conflict since 2011 for Konrad Adenauer Stiftung’s Regional Program Political Dialogue South Mediterranean Libya Brief no. 11.
The Bonds That Tie Libya and Ukraine
Umberto Profazio writes for TRENDS on how the MENA region is affected by the destabilising effects of the Ukraine war, the fallout highlighting the entanglement between various issues in a not-yet de-globalised world.
Overcoming hurdles to Turkish–Israeli reconciliation
Burcu Ozcelik explains in IISS how longstanding grievances between Turkey and Israel will complicate the pace of progress in mending their relations, but as Israel engages in pragmatic diplomacy with other Middle Eastern allies, it now controls the pace of normalisation with Ankara.
‘Businesses are a lifeline for dictators’: In conversation with Brian Klaas, professor of global politics at UCL
Brian Klaas tells Sebastian Shehadi in an interview for Investment Monitor how the Ukraine war heralds a new era for the relationship between democracies and autocracies. Business as usual cannot go on.
Putin’s High Stakes Game
Putin’s undeserved reputation as a master strategist means some analysts have employed the metaphor of chess to his invasion of Ukraine, but is the Russian President actually playing poker with the West? Jason Pack talks to Arthur Snell about the high stakes game between NATO and Russia on Doomsday Watch.
Is Negotiating with Putin even possible at this point?
Jason Pack and Kenneth Dekleva’s write for The Cipher Brief on if Negotiating with Putin even possible at this point and how negotiation psychology is critical in understanding Putin’s desires.
It’s Time to Beat Putin at Poker and Call His Bluff
Jason Pack writes for Foreign Policy that Putin’s disordering leadership style cannot be understood through the metaphors of chess or martial arts, but by viewing the current confrontation between the West and Russia as a game of televised poker.
Vladimir Putin Has Fallen Into the Dictator Trap
Brian Klaas writes for The Atlantic on how and why Putin, a man recently described by Donald Trump as a strategic ‘genius’, miscalculated badly by invading Ukraine.
Iran and Russia are probing Biden’s weaknesses
David Patrikarakos writes for The Spectator that the world seems to have got a lot more dangerous since Joe Biden took office, especially with Iran and Russia probing for American weaknesses.