LATEST ANALYSIS:
Normative Costs of Normalizing Al-Assad
Recent efforts to rehabilitate al-Assad will set a damaging precedent for accountability, just as the international community has expressed the need to hold Russia to account for similar human rights violations in Ukraine - Burcu Ozcelik for Carnegie Endowment.
Desert Flashpoint: Crisis in the Sahel
Civil wars and climate change rendering vast areas of the Sahel uninhabitable have created a refugee crisis which European demagogues can feast upon. And now Putin’s proxies are involved. Arthur Snell explores on his podcast, Doomsday Watch.
The EU, NATO and the Libya Crisis: Scaling Ambitions Down
Stefano Marcuzzi explains for ISPI how, as a consequence of the Libyan crisis, NATO and EU countries have progressively lost influence in the region.
Russia Today rolls out in Eastern Europe
As Russia intensifies its onslaught on Ukraine, Serbian President Vučić cosies up to the Kremlin & RT launches a Serbian language version of its site, angering the EU. Serbia does not seem to be helping itself. Helena Ivanov for UnHerd.
The twin crises in Egypt and Tunisia
Umberto Profazio reports on Egypt and Tunisia’s mirrored crises, interventions, and democratic regressions for the NATO Defense College Foundation.
The gangs of Calais
For UnHerd, David Patrikarakos reports from Calais on how the chaos in Westminster echoes across the Channel.
The Death of American Democracy?
Bitterly divided and reeling from the Jan 6 attacks, the USA stands on the brink of another Trump presidency. Will it become a democracy in name only? Arthur Snell explores on Doomsday Watch.
After Ukraine: Into the Age of Anarchy
In Doomsday Watch, Arthur Snell talks to Brian Klaas and Jason Pack, exploring the state and future of the already teetering global order amidst Russia’s war in Ukraine.
How the West should respond to nuclear war
Putin cannot afford to lose wars, even if deploying a tactical nuclear weapon is the only alternative. David Patrikarakos explains how the West can respond to his mentality for UnHerd.
Charting a New Direction: Turkey and Israel Normalise Ties
Despite pundits racing to ring the death knell for Israel-Turkey relations, it was never a foregone conclusion that the strategic relationship was over - Burcu Ozcelik for Manara Magazine.
On Russia, Serbia is playing a dangerous game
Serbia is finding itself in an increasingly precarious position. The gulf between the EU and Russia is widening, and soon enough it may be forced to pick sides. Helena Ivanov writes for UnHerd.
Will Putin’s gamble pay off?
There can be no retreat — either for Ukraine, or for the international order we have so painstakingly built over the seven decades, since the last time a tyrant unleashed industrial war on the European continent. David Patrikarakos reports on the war in Ukraine for UnHerd.
Putin’s Choices in Ukraine are Going from Bad to Worse
Russia is testing whether its people have the stomach to fight, but as social media gets flooded with refusals to accept mobilisation, is Vladimir Putin running out of means to cling on to power? Stepan Stepanenko writes for International Policy Digest.
Why Ukraine’s counter-offensive is working
In UnHerd, David Patrikarakos reports on how the Kremlin is being fed fake news from the front and how this is turning the tide of the war in Ukraine’s favour.
Was Sweden ever Neutral?
When Sweden finally does join NATO – which is likely to happen later this year, it will mean the end of over 200 years of supposed ‘neutrality’. But was Sweden ever really neutral? Jason Pack and Karl Karim Zakhour explore for the NDCF.
AUKUS Represents the Future of Collective Deterrence
Writing for National Interest, Jason Pack and Darren Spinck argue that AUKUS may be the most consequential step toward reasserting meaningful Anglosphere collaboration that could serve as a model for how to address common problems and hostile states.
Is Libya on the brink of another civil war?
Jason Pack sits on a panel for Al Jazeera’s Inside Story discussing how global disorder and international meddling has contributed Libya's recent violent political conflicts.
No More Neutrality: NATO and the Twilight of Swedish Exceptionalism
Jason Pack & Karl Karim Zakhour write for The National Interest on how NATO membership signifies expedience at the expense of a self-aggrandising national myth that has become increasingly difficult to sustain.
The EU has created a new dictatorship
David Patrikarakos explains in UnHerd how the EU has failed to support Tunisian democracy and ended up enabling its opposite: autocracy.
Cancel Ukrainian debt to avoid the winter becoming a killer
Stepan Stepanenko writes for politics.co.uk on the necessity of cancelling, not freezing or restructuring, Ukrainian war debt in order to deal with the invasion and preserve lives of the civilian population.