LATEST ANALYSIS:
Battleground Podcast: How the nature of war is evolving
In this episode of Battleground Ukraine, David Patrikarakos discusses what he's witnessed recently in and over the whole of his time in Ukraine and how the nature of warfare is changing both on the battlefield and on the propaganda front.
Proof that Putin’s Ukraine invasion has spectacularly backfired
Finland’s membership of Nato will benefit both the alliance and Helsinki, writes Jamie Shea.
Terror and tyranny have led Libya to a biblical catastrophe
It isn’t that no one cares about justice and human life, but that we have failed to confront the enemies of an ordered world. As Libya reels from deadly floods, Jason Pack explains how this tragedy and seemingly disparate disasters like it fit into the pattern of Global Enduring Disorder, in the Telegraph.
Yevgeny Prigozhin Might Have the Last Laugh
Coup plotters rarely die of old age. Yevgeny Prigozhin is dead and the Kremlin is rid of a formidable challenger, but at what price? Brian Klaas explores, in the Atlantic.
Suella Braverman is Right About Iran
How should the UK deal with the IRGC as the future seems set for a nuclear-armed Iran? David Patrikarakos explains.
The Coup in Niger Is About Power. Russia Will Exploit It.
The most exciting explanations for Niger’s upheaval are globe-sweeping and probably wrong. Brian Klaas deduces the likeliest explanation, in the Atlantic.
The Death Games in Ukraine
The Ukrainian war is breaking new ground in many ways, but it is likely to be remembered as the first great drone war. From the frontline, David Patrikarakos explains the death games of Ukraine.
Why the Russian Coup Plot Failed
After the submarine, the deep-sea experts became coup experts. To understand the weekend’s mercenary mutiny, actual coup expert Brian Klaas outlines what we do know… and what we can’t know, in the Garden of Forking Paths.
Prigozhin’s abortive coup signals open season on Putin
The Russian autocrat joins a long line of rulers to find their personal armies turning on them. Jason Pack looks to the past and foretells the future as the dust settles from mercenary rebellion in Russia, in the Telegraph.
Don’t Let China Win the Peace in Ukraine
Might China win the peace once the dust has settled from Ukraine’s war? Dr Helena Ivanov and Bob Seely explore, in The Telegraph.
Russia’s sexual health crisis just got militarised
Russia is facing a spiralling sexual health crisis charged by the Kremlin's abandonment of marginalized groups, and this crisis is particularly acute in Russian prisons. As the Russian Army adopts Wagner Group's practice of prisoner recruits, is the crisis set to translate into military weakness on the frontlines? Jason Pack and Guy Fiennes explore.
What the F16 decision tells us about US support to Ukraine
The coming election season in America means there are already starting to be limits placed on its support to Ukraine. Arthur Snell explores in Not All Doom.
A ceasefire would mean victory for Putin
In Kyiv, defiance is tempered with the depressing reality that the west might not be prepared to let Ukraine win. Arthur Snell dives deeper in the New European.
The Russo-Ukrainian War by Serhii Plokhy review — the myths and madness behind Putin’s invasion
The new magisterial book - ‘The Russo-Ukrainian War’ by leading historian Serhii Plokhi explains how long-held Russian imperial delusions lay behind the attack on Ukraine. Review by David Patrikarakos in the Times.
Shaping a 21st-century world order: The nation-state vs the civilizational state
US President Joe Biden positions the Ukraine war as a battle between autocracy and democracy, but that reduces what is at stake in the war: the nature of the state. And Putin isn’t the only civilizational leader out there… James M. Dorsey explores.
The Wagner Files
Wagner Group has catapulted out of the shadows and into the fore as the invasion of Ukraine wages on and the group expands its influence in Africa. Now, internal documents reveal how the mercenary group operates. David Patrikarakos explores in Unherd.
Research Collaboration with High-Risk Countries: What does the UK Public Think?
As geopolitical tensions continue to increase, so does research collaboration with international actors such as China. What risks should the UK Government, universities, and UK-based research programmes be aware of? And what do the British public think? Helena Ivanov writes for the Henry Jackson Society.
Sudan proves that the only thing worse than Western meddling is Western absence
As the situation in Sudan escalates, it is clear that the root problem of contemporary Western foreign policy isn’t meddling too much; it’s meddling too little. Jason Pack explains in The Telegraph.
Sudan, the War in Yemen and the Company You Keep
Britain's allies in the war in Yemen were the paymasters of the genocidal group now laying waste to Khartoum. Perhaps the paymasters should seek to end the fighting? Arthur Snell explores in Not All Doom.
The football hooligans fighting for Ukraine
Donetsk's ultras are the ultimate survivors. David Patrikarakos dives into the world of the football hooligans who have become part of the Ukrainian resistance, in Unherd.