LATEST ANALYSIS:
How the West should respond to nuclear war
Putin cannot afford to lose wars, even if deploying a tactical nuclear weapon is the only alternative. David Patrikarakos explains how the West can respond to his mentality for UnHerd.
Will Putin’s gamble pay off?
There can be no retreat — either for Ukraine, or for the international order we have so painstakingly built over the seven decades, since the last time a tyrant unleashed industrial war on the European continent. David Patrikarakos reports on the war in Ukraine for UnHerd.
Putin’s mistake was to discard the velvet glove
Until this year, 21st-century dictators have generally avoided pariah status by employing spin rather than violence to pursue their ruthless aims. David Patrikarakos writes about where Putin has gone wrong for The Spectator.
If the West looks away now, Russia WILL triumph.
David Patrikarakos writes for The Daily Mail: Ukraine is losing hundreds of troops a day and yesterday another vital city fell. Yet the EU still seems to care more about Putin's gas.
Is Negotiating with Putin even possible at this point?
Jason Pack and Kenneth Dekleva’s write for The Cipher Brief on if Negotiating with Putin even possible at this point and how negotiation psychology is critical in understanding Putin’s desires.
It’s Time to Beat Putin at Poker and Call His Bluff
Jason Pack writes for Foreign Policy that Putin’s disordering leadership style cannot be understood through the metaphors of chess or martial arts, but by viewing the current confrontation between the West and Russia as a game of televised poker.
Vladimir Putin Has Fallen Into the Dictator Trap
Brian Klaas writes for The Atlantic on how and why Putin, a man recently described by Donald Trump as a strategic ‘genius’, miscalculated badly by invading Ukraine.
Iran and Russia are probing Biden’s weaknesses
David Patrikarakos writes for The Spectator that the world seems to have got a lot more dangerous since Joe Biden took office, especially with Iran and Russia probing for American weaknesses.
Why is Serbia Europe’s weak link in taking on Putin?
Helena Ivanov explains for CapX why Serbia is not aligned with other EU nations in taking on Putin, and how if the West wants Serbia in its camp, it needs to offer something tangible.
Why Putin Is Playing Poker, Not Chess
Jason Pack writes for New Lines Magazine that Russia and the West are now at war. And the delicate dance leading to conflict between nuclear powers is a form of poker, not chess. Putin is used to bluffing and stealing the pot.
Putin’s Health and State of Mind are very Hard Targets
Kenneth Dekleva writes for The Cipher Brief on how the current horrific invasion of Ukraine has raised questions as to Putin’s state of mind and associated health issues, and why we should be concerned about Putin’s mentality.
Putin’s Ukraine Gambit: Why Now and What’s Next
Kenneth Dekleva writes for The Cipher Brief on why Putin risked facing a robust alliance of American, Canadian, Japanese, and European allies, and even Chinese displeasure by invading Ukraine, after essentially achieving many of his strategic goals.
When the US shrinks from the stage, things fall apart
Jason Pack writes for The Boston Globe on the necessity of US bipartisan leadership to address global conflicts from Ukraine to Taiwan, and how disorder arises when this leadership fails.
Is Russia preparing to invade Ukraine?
David Patrikarakos writes for The Spectator that the West needs to act soon if they are to stop Russia from invading Ukraine, freeze Kremlin assets, coordinate and alliance, and step up. But will they?
Vladimir Putin has never stopped fighting the Cold War
Alan Mendoza writes for The Telegraph that the latest hacking attacks are part of a long line of Russian aggression emanating from the dictatorial president Vladimir Putin.
The Sultan and the Czar: Erdogan and Putin’s game-changing policies in Libya
Stefano Marcuzzi and Erman Atak’s write for the NATO Defense College Foundation on Libya’s civil conflict and how military escalation was largely the result of the policies of Russian President Putin and Turkish President Erdogan.